Phillies vs. Red Sox Prediction, Odds, Picks – July 23

Phillies vs. Red Sox Prediction, Odds, Picks – July 23

Kyle Schwarber and the Philadelphia Phillies will take on the Boston Red Sox, featuring Jarren Duran, on Wednesday at 7:10 p. 46 jollyphm. ET in Citizens Bank Park. Bookmakers have listed the Phillies as -163 favorites on the moneyline, while the underdog Red Sox come in at +137 moneyline odds to win. Philadelphia is also favored by 1.5 runs (with +133 odds). An over/under of 8.5 runs has been established for the game.

Here’s everything you need to know from a betting perspective regarding the Phillies-Red Sox matchup, including the run line, moneyline, total, and expert picks. Stay updated with MLB on FOX Sports.

Game Information & Odds

When: Wednesday, July 23, 2025, at 7:10 p.m. jili188 casino login register philippines ET
Where: Citizens Bank Park in Philadelphia, Pennsylvania
How to watch on TV: ESPN

Favorite Moneyline: Phillies -163
Underdog Moneyline: Red Sox +137
Total Over: 8.5 -112
Total Under: 8.5 -108
Run Line Favorite: Phillies -1. okbet online casino philippines5 +133
Run Line Underdog: Red Sox +1.5 -159

Prediction

Score Prediction: Phillies 6, Red Sox 5
Total Prediction: Over 8.5 runs
Win Probabilities: Phillies 53%, Red Sox 47%

Betting Insights

This season, the Phillies have been favored in 80 games, winning 51 of them, which translates to a 63.7% success rate. When favored by -163 or more, Philadelphia boasts a record of 30-12, with a 71.4% win rate. The implied win probability for the Phillies based on the moneyline is 62%.

Conversely, the Red Sox have been underdogs in 37 games this year and have managed to secure victories in 15 of those, amounting to a 40.5% win rate. They hold a 5-6 record when favored at +137 or worse. The oddsmakers indicate that the Red Sox have a 42.2% chance of winning this matchup.

Phillies Recent Betting Performance

The Phillies were the moneyline favorites in nine of their last ten games, achieving a record of 5-4 in those contests. In these ten games, the combined scoring went over the set total five times. Against the spread, the Phillies have a 4-6-0 record in their last 10 games.

Phillies Recent Stats

Record: 5-5
Runs Per Game: 4.7
Home Runs: 13
ERA: 3.58
K/9: 9.7

Phillies Player Insights

Kyle Schwarber is the Phillies’ top power hitter, boasting 33 home runs and 75 RBIs, both team highs. His performance places him fifth in home runs and eighth in RBIs across all majors. Trea Turner leads the team with a batting average of .288, ranking 113th in home runs and 99th in RBIs among MLB batters this season. Bryce Harper has contributed with 22 doubles, 13 home runs, and 45 walks, batting .272. He seeks to build on a two-game hitting streak.

Nick Castellanos also adds to the lineup with 22 doubles, a triple, 12 home runs, and 22 walks, currently hitting .270. how to check psa records online He comes into this game on a two-game hitting streak, batting .211 in his last five outings.

Red Sox Recent Betting Performance

The Red Sox have been underdogs four times and have lost all those games in their last ten. With total games, they are 2-7-1 in hitting the over. Nevertheless, they have won six of their last ten games against the spread. jili super ace

Red Sox Recent Stats

Record: 6-4
Runs Per Game: 3.4
Home Runs: 11
ERA: 2.38
K/9: 7.9

Red Sox Player Insights

Ceddanne Rafaela leads the Red Sox with a batting average of .271, ranking 65th in home runs and 70th in RBIs among major league hitters. Jarren Duran follows with a .257 average and 25 doubles. Wilyer Abreu tops the Red Sox with 20 home runs and Trevor Story leads with 59 RBIs.

What are your thoughts on this matchup? Will the Phillies maintain their winning trend, or can the Red Sox overturn the odds?